Will the Dems get slaughtered in November?

In the WSJ, “political analyst” Rhodes Cook analyzes the data and ultimately, doesn’t have a clue.

His powerful conclusion:

As Frank Newport, editor in chief of the Gallup Poll, wrote recently on the generic congressional ballot question: “The results show that expectations of an assured Republican landslide in the congressional elections this fall are not a foregone conclusion.” In other words, when it comes to control of the House of Representatives in the next Congress: Game on!

But here’s an interesting development: In the Washington Post, reporter David Hilzenrath—Harvard grad and an old housemate of mine from DC days—reports that opposition to President Obama’s health care legislation is on the wane.

Opposition to the landmark health care overhaul declined over the past month, to 35 percent from 41 percent, according to the latest results of a tracking poll, reported Thursday.

…The approval level was the highest for the legislation since it was enacted in March, after a divisive year-long debate. In April, the poll found 46 percent in favor and 40 percent opposed.

There remain, of course, plenty of other things that Americans can be pissed off about—the economy, the oil spill, the fact that Obama hasn’t solved all the world’s problems in two years. But still—I expect that this trend will continue, and the health care legislation will either be a mild positive or neutral for the Democrats.