Shots In The Dark
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
  Hillary Going Down?
Barack takes Wisconsin and Hawaii...Hillary's firewall is Ohio and Texas.

Obama celebrated at a boisterous Houston rally attended by an estimated 19,000 people.....

Wait. Stop. Rewind.

19,000 people?

Can we take a moment to agree that that is a remarkable number? Can one imagine Hillary Clinton addressing an enthusiastic, unpaid crowd of 19,000?

John McCain certainly isn't thinking much of Mrs. Clinton's odds.

In his speech after the Wisconsin vote, McCain all but dismissed Clinton as a potential adversary, focusing his rhetorical fire on Obama as offering an "eloquent but empty call for change."

Who thinks that, should Hillary lose this nomination campaign, she will run for relection to the Senate in 2012?

I ask because, like any New Yorker, I've always wondered whether she's much interested in being senator except insofar as the job was a stepping stone to the presidency....

Second question: Who thinks that, in the next two weeks before the Ohio and Texas primaries, Hillary is going to get desperate-dirty, and we'll suddenly see some piece of dirt about Obama that we've never seen before...?
 
Comments:
Not only were there 19,000 people at that rally, Obama's speech was carried live on CNN (almost?) in full. Sure, the winners had been called, so maybe CNN felt the need to fill some time, but I was genuinely surprised when I realized they'd even crossed into the 10:00 hour without a break-- pretty obvious recognition of Obama's ability to keep viewers, i.e., his charisma.
 
Oh, and I do expect Hilary act nasty. Her campaign staff have been doing it for weeks already.

Trouble is, it'll just remind people about why they might want someone new.
 
Don't count her out yet. Texas and Ohio go for her and she's back in it.
Deadlocked convention turns to Gore who will have by far the best chance against McCain.
 
Obama all the way. He takes Texas, where she doesn't even have offices open, since she thought it would all be over by now. Ohio will be close, with delegates splitting. Watch superdelegates start peeling.
 
At this point, I'm not even positive she'll make it to Texas/Ohio. If she does, she'll be limping. The press are all over Obama's momentum, which is a self-fulfilling prophesy. The drums for her exit will keep getting louder.

And re her attack machine, I think it's too late. Even something on the level would be ill received by a Obama-smitten public.

Start warming up the bus...

-Egret
 
The rising tide of Obamathusiasm is choking me. Slow down, folks. His nomination just could be the Republicans' wet dream -- which may explain why so many right wing commentators are hopping on his bandwagon.

Gore is indeed the solution. If the Giants can do it, so can he.
 
If Obama wins the nomination, the Repuglicans will wipe the floor with him. (All McCain needs to say is that he's been fighting change since Obama was in diapers.)

Well-executed strategy always wins out over ideals. Hillary is the only real threat to the Repuglicans, who are so willing to align themselves against someone they know they can trample.
 
"Who thinks that, should Hillary lose this nomination campaign, she will run for relection to the Senate in 2012?"

I do. There are worse fates than being the female Moynihan.

"Second question: Who thinks that, in the next two weeks before the Ohio and Texas primaries, Hillary is going to get desperate-dirty, and we'll suddenly see some piece of dirt about Obama that we've never seen before...?"

Is that a bad thing?
 
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Name: Richard Bradley
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