Shots In The Dark
Monday, January 07, 2008
  Oh, Almost Forgot
There's a primary tomorrow in New Hampshire.

My predictions: Hillary gets crushed, but does not drop out. McCain wins, with Romney coming in second and Huckabee third.

Your thoughts?
 
Comments:
Sounds reasonable to me. I'm having a hard time seeing which primary she wins now, with the exception of NY.
 
Are we just voting for personality? If so, then I don't see that Obama is more appealing than Hillary . . . he just sounds vague and preacherly to me, even "cocky" as slate put it. I'm hoping that we can see the candidates battle it out a little longer, perhaps bringing issues into better focus.
 
The Crimson has a couple of interesting stories on the fragile moral values of Harvard students and graduates. On the one hand it is commendable that the Crimson wants these issues aired. Perhaps the conversation about them will get the students in the college to think a bit about ethics.

On the other hand it is troubling to think that these things happen at America's premier college...

Undergrad Nabbed Producing Fake State, Harvard ID's
May have made fraudulent Crimson Cash purchases; subject of criminal investigation
By CRIMSON NEWS STAFF
Monday, January 07, 2008 6:05 PM
A Harvard undergraduate was caught producing fake state driver’s licenses and Harvard ID’s—some with actual ID numbers that would have allowed him to gain access to campus buildings and make Crimson Cash purchases—in an ongoing criminal investigation by the Harvard University Police Department (HUPD) and the Middlesex District Attorney, the University announced today.

Plotkin To Serve Time for Fraud
Former Harvard student sentenced to 57 months for insider trading
By PRATEEK KUMAR
Monday, January 07, 2008 12:12 AM
Eugene Plotkin ’00, a former Goldman Sachs associate, was sentenced last Thursday to 57 months in prison after pleading guilty in August to eight counts of insider trading and one count of conspiracy to commit securities fraud.
 
And don't forget Andre Schleifer.
 
Huckabee 34
McCain 26
Romney 24
Paul 8
Rudy 7
 
Is that a prediction, SE, or early returns?
 
So SE, what I don't get is how you could be so wrong here, since the result ended up being pretty much what everyone has predicted for the last few days. Just wishful thinking, heart over head? You're usually on the mark, so much so I almost expected Huckabee to win.
 
Yeah, I jumped the gun. Not enough evangelicals in this state and not easy enough for change voters to cross over to Obama if they're registered Republican. Expected McCain voters to stay home and Romney voters to be better at reading the writing on the wall.

Romney's done -- but will make a big last stand in Michigan, where he and Huckabee are tied. He will disrupt McCain there. Meanwhile, McCain will face again his nemesis-state, South Carolina, and has to figure out how to keep the campaign from being about the war. If it's about the war he can't beat Huckabee, who is untainted and talks commonsensically.

I'm confident we're going to see Huckabee nominated. It was wishful thinking that NH would get to break the story.....


SE
 
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