Shots In The Dark
Thursday, March 08, 2007
  Obama's Stock is Dropping
The Chicago Sun-Times follows up on yesterday's New York Times report about Barack Obama's investments in two companies whose major investors were also Obama donors.

Obama claims that he had around $100,000 to invest because of cash from a book deal, and that because the amount wasn't very large, he decided to invest in something "more high-risk."

Uh-huh. Because that's what small investors do.

"I thought about going to Warren Buffett, but I decided it would be embarrassing with only $100,000 to invest to ask for his advice," Obama quipped.

Ouch. Senator Obama—presidential-candidate Obama—might want to consider that most Americans would love to have $100,000 to invest...and that even if they did, they wouldn't exactly be able to get Warren Buffet on the line.

But here's my favorite whopper of the story:

The Senate Ethics manual has detailed rules about blind trusts and qualified blind trusts. Obama did not want to sign on to either of those options because he did not want to wash his hands of the responsibility of investments made in his name, attorney Robert Bauer said.

Oh, I see—so Obama didn't conform to Senate rules because wanted to be more ethical about his stocks. That must be why he started pushing for federal money for avian flu treatments just weeks after investing in...a company that makes avian flu treatments.

Meanwhile, TheStreet.com analyzes Obama's stock portfolio and finds that he invested in both his donors' companies at a time when they were about to receive significant infusions of cash from the federal government, much of it from no-bid contracts related to Homeland Security work. The website also reports that Obama has announced that he invested more than was originally reported—not less than $50k, but between $50 and $100k.

The plot thickens.
 
Comments:
Umm. How about a little perspective? The average 401k plan in the country holds $60,000, so it really is not much more than what the average American has to invest. But you are right that the average American can't call Warren Buffett and get advice.
 
But how many years did it take the average American to accumulate that 60k?
 
About 10 years. Yes, you're right, that it shows, for someone who is supposed to connect to common people, he's out of touch. 100k is a small amount compared to other Harvard law grads, but that doesn't say much. So I think I'll cede this round to you...

I'm trying hard to be contrarian...
 
And you're right, of course, that Obama could easily have made different choices in life that would have earned him buckets of money. But in terms of this one-liner, it's the wrong note for Obama to strike. Shows some of the dangers of humor in politics—especially in a situation when the voters want you to be serious.
 
Also, isn't even that ten year estimate optimistic? I'm always reading about how underfunded Americans' 401k's are.....
 
Actually, the $60k is distressingly low for someone at roughly the mid point of their height career (and it is conservative to assume the average worker with 60k is at mid point in their career. People earn more -- and save more -- in their 40s and 50s, so it is more likely that the average worker with 60k is actually 10-20 years from retirememt, not 30-40). Assuming they are at midcareer, that means they'll have $120,000 when they retire, assuming they resist the temptation to dig into their 401k plans to pay for their kids college education or something else. People now live 20-25 years after retirement. Want to try and live on $120k for 25 years? A 7% annuity on that gives you about $9000, before fees and taxes, a year. Add in social security and you are still boderline poverty.

And these are the lucky ones since they actually have a 401k. Think about the people who don't even have that.
 
I should add, that when I said it takes "about ten years" to get to 60k, I should have said "at least ten years."
 
A better question is...what was Obama thinking? He knew that he would run for President someday and that his stock portfolio would be looked at very carefully. Either is it an honest mistake or man is he an idiot.
 
I like Obama, but v. stupid comment that it was "only" $100,000, not gonna make many friends w/the average American who would love to have that kind of cash to invest. The comment about Warren Buffet - he was clearly kidding, I think that was intentional.

But let's not roast him just yet, the scrutiny is just beginning....
 
WSJ reports that McCain's stock is dropping too. You heard it here first: Clinton v. Romney. (Or: big thighs v. funny underwear.)
 
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Name: Richard Bradley
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